If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways be about timing. The earlier the cost appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has recently become a big earner for them. They have to do that as they are only too conscious of the serious punters are becoming much shrewder within this market and will exploit any snippets of news that may allow them to have a good edge. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be only one odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is simply too lucrative with this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a very high revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are prepared to take a ‘big’ bet on the result of a match. This is clearly great news for that arb maker. This means that the maximum bets they will accept on a bet are many higher.
There are many kinds of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the initial goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so forth. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you can find too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a total waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer industry is to open up accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions about this sport. They will price the sport in their own individual country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers focused on the game. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their own countries they may be depending on third parties to collate information about their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between teams of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of your home team get talked up and also the odds might get skewed inside their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered within their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers present an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and in general stick into it. This means that a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by giving different odds. If this were to happen the arb may be available for a large amount of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick round the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they may be ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong as well as other firms can have a totally different view of the end result of any game. An entirely different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be enough to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are included in a variety of bookmakers around Europe. This will however put in a complication. Although really simple to find arbs, the mere fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw in the possibility that you will get spotted from the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You have to weigh up the pros and cons of the strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure part of betting and if someone was to check your money over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it may ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different form of sport and events as you can so that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t become a problem as numerous different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will even produce arbs plus they are more unlikely to draw in attention to you and the utmost bets will be higher.
As before you can not control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning one can be of use on your account. The point the following is that not many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that this betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. In case a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he is definitely the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices as the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted whatsoever. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can work as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels also have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all concurrently, only one by one so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The newest price is the one that wont change the old cost is the one that is going to therefore may be lost should you be not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total number of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points to get a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity between the teams where case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet is not going to figure strongly in your plans. And it also is unusual to locate information being issued that can impact the total bookings bet. But an easy bit of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to a number of arb. The conclusion is not really can be expected excessive sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards but it simple enough to check the chances.